tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34249799.post5382343431032937094..comments2024-03-29T07:15:02.402+13:00Comments on AmeriNZ Blog: Democrats screw AmericaArthur Schenckhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10568299067544221996noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34249799.post-42410437249427468702007-05-29T09:40:00.000+12:002007-05-29T09:40:00.000+12:00Thanks for stopping by, Dave!You raised a lot of i...Thanks for stopping by, Dave!<BR/><BR/>You raised a lot of interesting points about polls in particular, and I mostly agree with you. I've noticed the increasing tendency for polls to be unreliable, and I'd love to find out why that is. I don't think it's just the partisans, though, because they've always tried to hijack polls or the polling process.<BR/><BR/>I know that one concern is the reliance that so many pollsters still place on landline telephones when so many people are switching to having a cellphone only. But there's got to be more to it than that, and I would love to see some impartial research into it.<BR/><BR/>Thanks again for stopping by!Arthur Schenckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10568299067544221996noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34249799.post-6212457118071167112007-05-28T18:41:00.000+12:002007-05-28T18:41:00.000+12:00Arthur I don't normally read your blog but happene...Arthur I don't normally read your blog but happened to link to it from Archerr tonight. I watch polls closely for job related reasons, and the number of Americans that want to withdrawl is far smaller than the Americans that want to feel "victory" has been accomplished before we leave. The issue is too complex to measure by a poll. Americans still need to have "victory" spelled out before there will be a committment to pull out entirely. You will see this topic evolvong. The Bush plan always had a withdrawl deadline, it wasn't open to the public and still isn't (but we are not off the projected target date). If the democrats felt they really had the support they would have pushed it. The election in November was not a vote against the war, more so than the public demanding a change in course, but not a withdrawl. We use simulation models to try to bring the polls together and take an accurate temp. but the reality is that polls are no longer an effective tool because they have been stolen by partisans on both sides.DaveinSeattlehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16607179495668365942noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34249799.post-47212574106378055652007-05-27T22:20:00.000+12:002007-05-27T22:20:00.000+12:00I agree with you on all of that. I think what anno...I agree with you on all of that. I think what annoys me so much is all the hype the Democrats spewed when they must have known that they couldn't really control Bush without republican support. As you noted, Republicans won't turn on Bush until they have to get re-elected.<BR/><BR/>Unfortunately, Bush will be in office as long as you say, which is why I have a ticker on my blog counting the days until the world is rid of him. I wish Congress would impeach the whole evil cabal, but they can't and won't, so it'll be business as usual with thousands of people—American and Iraqi—dying because Congress won't stand up to Bush.Arthur Schenckhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10568299067544221996noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34249799.post-74839528913806779672007-05-27T07:10:00.000+12:002007-05-27T07:10:00.000+12:00If we were a parliamentary democracy, Bush would b...If we were a parliamentary democracy, Bush would be gone. But we aren't one. The votes were not there to pass this bill over Bush's veto. <BR/><BR/>This is a win for Bush but for only right now. The Democrats will continue to push and, unless there is a miracle on the ground the in Iraq, Republicans will have no choice but to change their position or face being wiped out in the next election.<BR/><BR/>But here is what I believe is a truth that people need to recognize and that is Bush will be president until January of 2009. Only after he has left is there any real hope of ending the war.Jason in DChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04442861717390485392noreply@blogger.com